Rome, April 29 (askanews) – The Scots will go to the polls next week to elect a regional government. The shadow of Brexit falls heavily on the vote – the vast majority was meant to be shaken – and there remains a dream of independence from London on the horizon, which could mean a possible return to the European Union this time, with contests involving the SNP. The Scottish National Party of Incantum Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon, Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labor, Scottish Greens and Scottish Liberal Democrats, but there will also be many smaller parties and independent candidates. There is some doubt about the SNP’s victory but understanding its extent will be decisive. The problem is essentially whether the SNP will have an absolute majority or will have to form a coalition or even a minority government. To complicate the picture, the return of Alba’s head, former Prime Minister Alec Selmond, to politics, a new political formation that, in the event of a good confirmation, could complicate the future framework of Scottish politics. Panelbase for Scotland. The Pop website said, The Scotsman newspaper noted, that after next Thursday’s vote the SNP would be the largest party in the Holy Party (Scottish Parliament) with 61 seats, two fewer than the SNP obtained in 2016 and four less than an absolute majority. ‘Some colleges become decisive in this context, such as Labor in Dumbarton, East Lothian and Edinburgh Southern and Frontier Constituencies such as Edinburgh Central, Aberdeenshire West and Air Controlled Tories. In case of confirmation in these constituencies, the SNP can rise to 65 seats and have an absolute majority. The big question is, will there be a pro-independence majority? Even if the SNP does not get an absolute majority, a pro-independence majority is likely, according to another panelbase poll of 1,075 over 1,075 held between April 21 and 26, largely due to Alba’s support Is due to increase in. It is expected to win eight seats in regional ballots and now in elections. 6% of respondents said that they would support Salmond’s party from among those who voted SNP in 2019. Vote Alba and 13% to the Scottish Greens. A week after the election, as an analysis by the BCC, seems a little secret about the end result – only the SNPs talk about forming a government. But there are still some important questions to answer that could heavily impact Scotland’s future. The most obvious questions are still the same: Will the SNP have an absolute majority? Will it be able to form an independence majority with the help of other smaller parties? Will conservatives dominate Labor in the second place battle? And what are the factors that can help in answering these questions? The voting factor may prove to be the deciding factor. In general, the BBC notes for elections to be held in Holyrod, almost half of those entitled to vote actually do so. The average turnout since 1999 has been 53%. This does not necessarily make things more unpredictable, although the lowest turnout – 49% in 2003 – led to the creation of an almost invincible “rainbow parliament” of seven different parties. And SNM won the fewest voting seats. In 2016 – the 41 lowest voting seats all voted an SNP MSP, while the party won three of the ten highest voting seats – in elections – suggesting that the current ruling party need not fear in the event of a low turnout is. The question is whether voters in the May 6 elections will be different than in previous years. Analyzing the demographics, it is clear that older people are traditionally more likely to vote, but are also more likely to be negatively affected by Kovid-19 and therefore likely to leave their homes. They get scared. Meanwhile, the number of people recorded. Mail-order votes, but they are probably politically committed enough that they will probably vote in person anyway. What will be the impact on small parties? A total of 25 parties are participating in the election. Everyone in Scotland will have at least 15 different options on their regional lists and in some areas the ballot will look like a telephone directory. Some parties have already run in parliament with varying degrees of success, but in 2021 they may be enough thanks mostly to the successful former Prime Minister Alex Salmond, who has again re-entered the political fray as the leader of the Alba party logging in. It is extremely difficult to say whether Alba will promote the pro-independence cause, or whether it will divide votes and cost seats to larger pro-independence parties. The same can be said of the pro-British Galloway All For Unity group. The SNP’s plan for this election to speak of independence was essentially the opposite with Boris Johnson led by Nicola Sturgeon. But the rise of Alba meant that Ms. Sturgeon did not have full control of the independence front and was thus forced to talk about borders, currency, the European Union and a whole range of potentially inconvenient topics that she postponed. Liked to do Future referendum campaign.
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