Rome, 4 May (askanews) – Tomorrow the Scots will go to the polls to elect a regional government. The shadow of Brexit weighs in on the vote – the vast majority of Scots were to stay – and there remains a dream of independence from London on the horizon, which could also mean a possible return to the European Union this time. Competitions include SNP, Scottish Incumbent Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon, Scottish Conservatives, Scottish Labor, Scottish Greens and the National Party of Scottish Liberal Democrats but there will also be many smaller parties and independent candidates. There are some doubts about the SNP’s victory, but understanding its limits will be decisive. The problem is essentially whether the SNP will be able to win an absolute majority or will also have to form a coalition or minority government. To complicate the picture, former Prime Minister Alec Salmond’s return to politics is, on Alba’s head, a new political formation that, in a well-confirmed state of affairs, may complicate the future structure of Scottish politics and little else. As the website Scott Goes Pop noted, the Scotsman newspaper noted that the SNP would be the largest party in Holyrood (Scottish Parliament) after next Thursday’s vote, with 61 seats, two fewer than the SNP obtained in 2016 and four less than an absolute majority. Some colleges become decisive in this context, such as Labor in Dumbarton, East Lothian and Edinburgh Southern and Frontier Constituencies such as Edinburgh Central, Aberdeenshire West and Air Controlled Tories. In case of confirmation among these allies, the SNP can rise to 65 seats and get an absolute majority. Will there be a pro-independence majority? According to the panelbase’s poll of 14 over 10,085 conducted between 21–26 April, even though the SNP does not get an absolute majority, there is a possibility of a pro-independence majority. This is mainly due to the increased support for Alba, which is only running in the regional ballot and is now expected to win eight seats in the election. 6% of respondents said they would support Salmond’s party with their own list of votes and that of those who voted SNP in 2019, ‘11% indicated they would vote for Alba and 13% of Scottish Greens Ko, so as revealed in an analysis conducted by the BCC a week after the election, appears to be a little secret about the end result – with only the SNP speaking out. To form a government. But there are still some important questions to answer that can have a huge impact on the future of Scotland. The most obvious questions are still the same: Will the SNP have an absolute majority? Will it be able to build independence majority with the help of other small parties? Will the Conservatives dominate Labor in the second place battle? And what are the factors that can help answer these questions? The voting factor may prove to be the deciding factor. In general, the BBC notes, for elections in Holyrood, only half of those entitled to vote actually do so. The average turnout since 195 has been 53%. This does not necessarily make things more unpredictable, although the lowest turnout – 79% in 2003 – created an almost unbearable “rainbow parliament” of seven different parties. . And the SNP won the lowest-voted seats in 2016 – all but one of the 41 least-voted SNP MSPs, while the party won just three of the top ten seats with the highest turnout. Election – There is no need to be afraid in the event of a low turnout suggesting that the current ruling party may be there. The question is whether the voters going to the polls on May 6 will be different from the voters of previous years. Analyzing the demographics, it is clear that older people are traditionally more likely to vote, but are also more likely to be negatively affected by Kovid-19 and therefore potentially nervous to leave their homes . Meanwhile, a record number of people signed up for a mail-order vote, but they are probably so politically committed that they probably would have voted in person anyway. What will be the effect of smaller parties? A total of 25 parties are participating in the election. Everyone in Scotland will have at least 15 different options on their regional rollers and in some areas the ballot will look like a telephone directory. Smaller parties have already run for parliament with varying degrees of success, but in 2021 they can be quite successful. Mostly thanks to former Prime Minister Alex Salmond, who re-entered the political fray as the leader of the Alba party. It is extremely difficult to say whether Alba will promote the pro-independence cause, or if it will distribute votes and cost seats to big-pro-independence parties. The same can be said about George Galloway’s All for Unity group on the UK pro-party side. The SNP’s plan for this election was essentially to compare Nicola Sturgeon’s leadership with that of Boris Johnson to talk about independence. But the rise of Alba means that Ms. Sturgeon does not have full control of the debate’s independence front and is thus forced to talk about borders, currency, the European Union and a whole range of potentially uncomfortable topics that She would have preferred to postpone the referendum campaign for the future. The Exclusive Poll by Savanta Comares for The Scotsman sees Yes at its lowest level just before the 2019 general election, in which Boris Johnson’s conservative party won an overwhelming majority in Westminster.
Devoted problem solver. Tv advocate. Avid zombie aficionado. Proud twitter nerd. Subtly charming alcohol geek.