Detail the probability of 6 players able to win the race in Dubai

Collin Morikawa Photo by Andrew Redington/Getty Images

After Jon Rahm withdrew from the DP World Tour Championship, there are only six left to replace Lee Westwood in this week’s race in Dubai. Two French players, Antoine Rosner and Victor Perez, are aiming for a top 30 in the race to compete at next summer’s British Open.

NS race to dubai Many great players have won in recent years. Rory McIlroy Has won three times. we also remember the supremacy ofhenrik stenson In 2013, then in 2016 and last year’s running victories Lee Westwood At 47!

in american force

Colin Morikawa Currently on top after achieving a second major success, The Open at Royal St. George and a World Championship stop, the Weekday Championship in Florida, in early March.

This is another American who is in the best position since that time to be denied the title of player of the season on the European Tour. Billy HorschelWith his victories at the BMW PGA in Wentworth in September and his coronation at the World Match Play Championship in March, he is in second place.

three Englishmen to build a bulwark

On the European side, after Jon Rahm’s package last week citing mental fatigue, there are three Englishmen who can hope to succeed his compatriot Westwood.

things seem complicated Paul Casey, 7th in the standings, but the 40-year-old is not completely out of the running when he wins this week.

However, rests on the shoulders of the best of the British clan tyrell hatton, especially fourth in the standings after a great start to the season.

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A player now playing mainly in the USA will have to outperform his second-place finisher Matthew Fitzpatrick To DP World Tour Championship in 2016. If so, he may even complete n°1 in the race!

Five years before last year’s winner and therefore the season-closing tournament, Fitzpatrick will have to prove again that he is the best at Jumeirah’s “Earth” course if he wants to win the race in Dubai.

Ranking before last tournament

1 – Colin Morikawa 3 856,4 points

2- Billy Horschel 3 620,2 points

3 – Jon Rahm 3 402,5 points

4- Tyrell Hatton 2 472.1 points

5 – Min Woo Lee 2 187.1 points

6- Matthew Fitzpatrick 2 113,2 points

7- Paul Casey 2 053,8 points

Logically Favorite Morikawa and Horschel

Morikawa is one of two players, along with compatriot Horschl, are certain to win the overall standings if they win. But young Americans could also be at the bottom of the classification and end the year n°1.

Indeed, if Horshal does not finish in the first 9, and none of the other 4 contenders in Dubai win, Morikawa will be crowned.

On the other hand, if Morikawa is in last place, which has very little chance, Horschel can afford the luxury of finishing eighth in the DP World Tour Championship and still winning the race.

European chances in conditional

For tyrell hatton And others, there is no substitute for victory. He will have to win at all costs to replace Lee Westwood.

In case of a win, Hatton should also hope that Morikawa does not finish on the podium and that Horschl is not runner-up.

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to see australia min woo lee Holy, Morikawa should finish ahead of 7th and Horshal ahead of 4th.

A Fitzpatrick Victory is air conditioned 8th or higher behind Morikawa and Horschel does not rank in the top 4.

At the end, This is a must if Casey wants to win the Dubai race that Morikawa dropped out of the top 12 and Horschel went past the top 5.

What about French?

antoine rosner And Victor PerezThe only two French golfers present at the Emirates this week are aiming for the final top 30 of the race that will allow them to validate their tickets for the next one. British Open Scheduled from 14th to 17th July, 2022 St Andrews (Scotland).

39th in the race with 945.8 points, Racingman should have finished in a worst 20th place in the DP World Tour Championship to be expected to enter the famed Top 30 and thus compete in his second The Open. Royal St George Last summer (59th). Tarbais, who is ranked 41st in the race with 922.8 points, is forced to keep the cursor up a bit. If He Wants to Walk Legendary old course, he is bound to finish in at least 16th place this Sunday!

Photo © Andrew Reddington / Getty Images


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