Scotland’s independence no longer scares economists. And Kovid anarchy weakens London

  Scotland's independence no longer scares economists.  And Kovid anarchy weakens London

British businesses no longer fear the independence of Scotland. It is one that emerges from Survey published by “Times” On 2 October in London. 54% of business executives polled in the survey suggested that Scotland’s separation from the UK “would not create problems”, while only 22% considered it an economic risk factor. Thus a strong element of Unionist “discourse” is seen to crack, according to which Scottish independence will harm the economy. It was always said: Scotland was too isolated to stand alone, British economies were also unified to separate.

Meanwhile, the political environment has also changed. While earlier Scottish Minister Nicola Sturgeon (an activist, an expression of the Scottish National Party) records an unprecedented peak in popularity, Parag said A new referendum for independence This may give the opposite result from 2014, when the “no” to secede from the United Kingdom was prevalent to separate the “yes” with a 55% win. This was revealed by a Yougov poll published on August 12, which states that the Scots would be 52% in favor of independence, a share never before.

Promoting this new trend will be the joint action of the Kovid-19 epidemic and Brexit, managed by Prime Minister Boris Johnson, considered the most “devastating” by the way as Skinny suggested Johnson enjoys 20% popularity in Scotland. In contrast, Prime Minister Sturgeon collects what he sowed in lockdown when it appeared every day on Scottish TV, communicating sympathetically and reassuringly, but preventing infection compared to other areas of Great Britain Used to implement more severe measures. By August, Sturgeon’s popularity exceeded 72%. Even the Scots in opposition to independence promote it: 59% of them indicate that the “first minister” has done well in times of epidemics.

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The element is important: with the 1998 divergence, health care has become the responsibility of Scottish institutions. there Universal epidemic The Scots were shown as an unprecedented centrality of the Edinburgh government, which had previously been charged with legislating on secondary issues. In contrast to the chaos of governance at Westminster and Downing Street, Scotland was considered skilled in managing the crisis. This is confirmed by the political analyst for “Courier” David Clegg: “Kovid-19 has brought it with a by-product. All questions about the economy, Scotland’s position in the world and the risks of breaking the shackles. Shared history Has been reduced to three very simple questions: Nicola Sturgeon or Boris Johnson? “.

Following the defeat of separatists in 2014, Brexit intervened to increase consensus for self-government requests: “No” to exit EU He won in Scotland with 62% of the vote, showing pro-European sentiment. The Scots consider the central government to be a guarantee of “counterparty” to community institutions. The results of the 2019 general elections are also in line: if Boris Johnson won with 43% nationally, the “Tories” in Scotland collected a modest 25%, a 3-point drop compared to 2017. Thus, the request from the SNP for a new referendum for independence in the vicinity of the next election for the Scottish Parliament scheduled for 2021 in the last two years, which the SNP hopes for an agile victory, will give it another signal London

But veto Boris Johnson, Who declined a call for a new vote in January: “We will not allow another referendum that would confirm a decade-long political standoff with Scotland’s hospitals, jobs and schools, a separation.” Jobs and schools back again due to campaign. From the United Kingdom “. Johnson did not intend to risk Prime Minister David Cameron, who took the 2014 referendum in the belief that “no” would win. But if Cameron was spared a broken headset in the Scottish referendum, it would not have happened in the Brexit referendum: there was also a “stay” victory falling short, which the former conservative prime minister himself was advocating. But unsurprisingly he won the “holiday” and the first head to roll was that of Cameron.

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An error which Johnson does not intend to repeat by authorizing a consultation with an unexpected result. Sturgeon’s opposition is of little value, as he responded in a clear manner to Johnson: “Tories get nervous That Scotland exercises the right to choose its own future. But democracy will prevail. “The game of freedom risk against Boris Johnson’s rocky nationalism, which does not want to replace itself with Churchill’s emulator that made the disintegration of the United Kingdom possible.”

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