Two US Air Force Hunter Hurricane Hunter aircraft are scheduled to investigate this system on Sunday to determine how organized the storm is and whether it is escalating or not.
Jib currents will be the main short-term concern for areas of northeastern Florida across the North Carolina coast.
“Interest near the North Carolina coast should closely monitor the progress of this system, as it could produce refined winds and heavy rain on Monday,” says the National Hurricane Center. Currently, tropical storm warnings are in effect from Surf City to Duck, North Carolina. A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the next 36 hours.
We are also monitoring a frontal system draped from the Great Lakes to the Gulf coast which is bringing floods and severe storms to those areas because as this system traces eastward it will also begin to interact with the tropical storm Arthur.
“Arthur could be pushed overboard, or Arthur could be wrapped in the frontal system and basically combine with it,” says CNN meteorologist Haley Brink.
“Depending on how quickly this frontal system moves eastward it could help push Arthur to the sea and further away from the United States. However, there is also a high pressure system in the north that could affect Arthur’s direction, possibly taking him more inward. “
Warm waters of the Gulf
Currently, the storm is at unfavorable water temperatures for any major intensification. However, as it moves through the relatively warm waters of the Gulf Stream, a narrow window of opportunity will be given for the strengthening of the storm. Sea surface temperatures continue to remain above average across the Atlantic, with the exception of the colder North Atlantic.
The tropics are warming up all over the world
Areas of the Pacific Ocean also had an interesting start in their tropical season.
On April 25, the tropical One-E depression formed south of the Mexican region of Baja California, marking the first tropical depression recorded in April for the eastern Pacific Ocean.