This is a noteworthy hit from one to two within 24 hours. Especially considering that Republicans currently hold a small majority in the Senate – and that if Joe Biden is elected president this fall, Democrats only need a net gain of three seats, two of which the White House is actively concerned about.
If both candidates ran and lost, those defeats, combined with the very tough race that Senator Cory Gardner (R) has to face in Colorado, could by themselves return the majority of the Senate to the Democrats.
If you consider that Democrats are also competitive in Senate seats held by the GOP in Maine, Montana, Georgia (both seats are in office in November), North Carolina, Kansas and Iowa, you start to understand the potential. growing by a democratic majority in 2021.
(A complicating factor for Democrats: Alabama Senator Doug Jones is a loser determined to keep his place this fall in one of the country’s most republican states.)
Trump’s interests, of course, are far from altruistic. As the Times noted in his Loeffler piece:
“Ms. McSally’s seat in particular problems. Mr. Trump’s advisors. The president has repeatedly asked if his candidacy is negatively affecting his prospects in a state that has become more competitive, people familiar with the discussions. “
The same could be said for Loeffler’s struggles in Georgia and Gardner in Colorado – both states where the two national parties are likely to spend money on ground games and television commercials in the fall.
(Of course, all three senators could also blame at least part of their struggles over Trump as he continues to languish in suburban areas.)
Regardless of who is to blame, the reality that the White House is quite clearly in tune with is this: two (or even three) Senate seats are going very, very badly for Republicans and may be out of reach before they even get to November.
The pointControlling the majority of the Senate is not as important as winning the White House. But as the past three years have shown, it is close enough.