When it comes to voting, generally the disapproval induced by the other candidate is a fundamental factor. 4 years ago, Jair Bolsonaro won the election by fueling the hatred and disapproval of the leftists who ruled Brazil for 13 years. Today, it is he who arouses the same negative sentiments on the part of voters who reject his way of governance and his ultra-conservative ideology.
“even thoughSebastian Antoine explains, Bolsonaro still retained his electoral base. 30 to 35% of voters wore it 4 years ago. This voter is still very much present. To this has been added a section of voters mobilized against questions of corruption embodied by Lula.
It will be he who will awaken the weakest wave of disapproval who will win the election.
It must be said that Brazilian society is extremely polarized: on the one hand, anti-Bolsonarian and, on the other hand, antagonistic, with reference to Lula’s political family, the Workers’ Party.
“In 2018, we didn’t have antibolsonarism, but antipatism, and the election against everything and everyone … Bolsonaro embraced this antisystem element and won”Sociologist and political scientist Paulo Bia analyzes, Professor of Political Science at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, “But this time, it will be the one who wakes up the weakest wave of disapproval who will win the election”, he adds. According to a latest survey, Jair Bolsonaro has a rejection rate of 50% while that of Lula is 46%.
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