LONDON – An abusive, plain-spoken former tabloid reporter, Lee Kane was part of a tight-knit team of Brexit campaigners who tied the knot with Boris Johnson and were rewarded with plum jobs on Downing Street when he became prime minister last year.
On Wednesday, however, Mr. Cain’s fate left him as president of communications after losing the battle for power, leaving behind a broader question: As the Brexit trade negotiations enter their final phase, Mr. Johnson is turning hard. The line Brexit group that helped him come to power?
Speculation about Mr. Johnson’s future has now spread The most influential and divisive assistant, Dominic Cummings, Chief architect of the Brexit referendum campaign of the holiday forces and political patron of Mr. Cain.
The BBC reported that Mr Cummings was expected to step down by the end of the year, and Transport Secretary Grant Shapps told Sky News on Friday morning that he would “miss”.
The palace conspiracy comes to the fore when Britain’s leader suddenly faced a shift in political forces, including the election of a new, anti-Brexit American president and increased pressure to reach a post-Brexit deal with the European Union.
President-elect Joseph R. According to Biden Jr., attacking the deal would avoid the risk of increased tensions with the United States on the Irish border. Has already made it clear His decision to maintain the fragile peace process in Northern Ireland
Some critics in Mr. Johnson’s own Conservative Party have reacted to the dominance of Downing Street Click, led by Mr. Cummings, who has been enthusiastic about campaigning and dismissing political opponents during Brexit, but has particularly struggled with the regime’s more commercial business. Crucible of coronavirus epidemic.
“They have weakened,” said Anand Mann, a professor of European politics and foreign affairs at the Kings College College Lodge in the Vote Leave team. “They feel a little 2016,” he added.
More recently, conservative legislators have publicly retaliated against epidemiological policies by excluding them from special decisions, especially around the downfall. On Thursday, Charles Wacker, vice chairman of the influential 1922 committee of backbenchers, told the BBC he was “briefly upset about the number 10 operation.”
There was a catalytic group fight for Mr. Cain’s death There are plans to recruit a spokesperson Against White House-style televised news briefings.
Although Mr. Cain liked the idea, he was less than keen on Mr. Johnson’s decision to hire former journalist and broadcaster, Allegra Stratton. Mrs. Stratton, who at one time worked on a left-leaning Guardian, was unlikely to start culture wars or adopt an abrasive, polemic tone favored by Brexit hard-liners.
When rumors came out that Mr. Johnson would keep both by promoting Mr. Cain to a powerful position of Chief of Staff, the reaction was swift. Critics recall his past as a journalist for the Daily Mirror, during which Mr Keane wore a chicken suit to mock former Conservative leader David Cameron during the 2010 campaign.
Among those asked to oppose Mr Cain’s promotion plan was Mr Johnson’s fiance Carrie Symonds, according to the BBC.
The altercation ended late Wednesday evening, when Mr Cain issued a statement saying he had been “honored to serve as the prime minister’s chief of staff” but had decided to resign after careful consideration.
Mr Cain’s departure gives Mr Johnson a chance to reshuffle his team – some analysts say it’s too much, although he faces the combined economic pressures of the epidemic and Brexit, which he predicts will be a trade deal if Britain strikes.
Vernon Bogdnor, a professor of government at King’s College London, said the government was under heavy pressure in January. “Unemployment is likely to rise and there will be pressure on further intervention by the state, redistribution of income and reduction of inequality.”
Such a social-democratic approach would test the Conservative backbenchers, as it may require the government to do things that would normally hate Terris, such as raising taxes. But Mr. Johnson is ideologically flexible, and Mr. Bogdanor said the Conservatives are “not an ideological party, they are a pragmatic party.”
More urgently, the apparent weakness of the strictly lined Brexit group in government indicates that Mr. Johnson is determined that he cannot risk Brexit in the face of all other pressures and is willing to compromise to get a deal. With the European Union.
That new pressure is the presence of Mr Biden, who opposed the “vote leave” agenda and will criticize Britain for further escalating between itself and the European Union. Mr Biden has already warned Mr Johnson not to negotiate with Brussels in a way that could jeopardize peace in Northern Ireland.
Mr. Johnson is following a line of offensive tactics that outwardly identifies the “vote leave” team. He introduced legislation that would renew and possibly renew the government’s promises for post-Brexit Northern Ireland. Strict borders in Ireland will lead to shifting.
But many analysts have denied that, under any circumstances, Mr. Biden is no longer their advantage.
“Threatening to revitalize the border in Ireland was a strategy to benefit the European Union,” said Mujtaba Rahman, an analyst at Eurasia Group, a political risk adviser. “In a world where Trump has won, that strategy may have been accepted, perhaps reinforced.” . But of course, with Biden, it won’t stand. “
Mr Biden said Mr Rahman would not only defend Ireland’s interests, but would also see the conflict between Britain and the European Union as an obstacle to becoming an effective partner with the United States on global issues such as Russia. And China or the fight against climate change.
Mr. Cummings’ fortunes will be an important sign of the direction of Mr. Johnson’s government. Earlier this year, He kept his job even though it was a rogue trip in clear violation of coronavirus rules, An episode that showed its importance as a lodestar To a prime minister who wears his political ideology lightly.
Mr Menon, however, said he would not be surprised to see Mr Cummings following Mr Cain from Down Street soon.
“He’s part of a tribe and if he sees that his tribe is weakened, yes, it’s possible.” “But it is also possible that Cummings has realized that running a government is not as easy or as fun as he thought. It requires patience, perseverance and collaboration with others. “
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