France: why Elizabeth Bourne will resign as prime minister after the legislative elections

Published on 06/19/2022 at 20:53Reading Time: 2 Minutes

YouA victory with a taste of defeat: The Macron camp certainly comes first in the second round of legislative elections, but is far from an absolute majority in the face of the strong success of the United Left and the National Rally, according to estimates. ,

Presidential Alliance Together! (LREM, MoDem, Agir and Horizon) Harris receives between 210 and 240 seats according to Interactive-Toluna, 210 to 250 seats according to Ifop-fiducial, 224 according to Ipsos Sopra Steria, 200 to 260 seats according to Opinionway. , Thus, she would be far from her objective of reaching an absolute majority of 289 deputies out of 577, unlike in 2017, which allowed her to hold the upper hand at the Palais Bourbon for five years.

The majority will also have to deal with a reinforced national rally, which, with estimates ranging from 67 to 100 seats, is the big surprise of this second round, after a campaign of retreat, wiped out by a duel between the Macron camp and the left.

If confirmed, these unprecedented results under the 5th Republic call into question Emmanuel Macron’s ability to govern the country and be able to pass the promised reforms.

Two months after his re-election, the head of state, who had repeatedly urged the French to give a “strong and clear majority”, was not heard. These scores also raise questions about continuing Elizabeth Bourne’s lease at Mattignon: in pursuit of allies, will Mr Macron have to rebuild his government from floor to ceiling? Anyway, as always, the prime minister must submit his resignation, unless, by surprise, be reappointed.