Boris Johnson between Kovid-19 and Brexit

Will Kovid-19 falling from Brexit drown in waves of pandemic? Or will the two elections end by combining two blades to shatter the Conservative Party’s hopes?

One thing is certain, though discretionary: the challenges that remained for the Brexit Agreement ended with a certain political farce under the double mitigation of the year’s celebration and the exhaustion of political actors. Two aspects of the channel. Who heard the complaint of British fishermen between Turkey and Sherry on 25 December? Which European, Northern Irish or Scottish political party would have the audacity to demand that we have been weaving Penelope’s interlocutors, patient disciples, for three years? Worse, would the parliamentary faction have attempted a Herculean job to examine the 1,500 pages of the treaty between Christmas and New Year?

Turkey and sherry

The dice are cast, the press has moved on, and Brexit has now taken place: it is now worked with both the texts from the legal point of view and from the political point of view. This is the essential point here. Boris Johnson has gambled extravagantly to make Brexit a strictly political issue, in a country where trade and finance have been in the first place for a long time. The introductory question therefore poses a question that the Conservatives themselves – and this is not the least of the contradictions – are going to end: that of the economic consequences.

It was discovered that Britain was coming from Brussels and Wuhan respectively under the double brunt of philanthropic atrocities and a malicious virus. Vaccine and Brexit provide it with two obvious flaws. The presence of new pandemic strains and the red tape that companies now wishing to export to the continent would have to be weighed in no way hampered the rhetoric of Downing Street. The empire thus liberated would now sniff open sea air, and close many moorings that bound it to its most important economic partner.

or not. Because statistics are more resistant to language elements. Britain imports two-thirds of its fresh fruit, half of its vegetables and one-third of its pork. In contrast, the country is an exporter of milk or mutton. Taken together, a third of the food eaten in Britain comes from the continent. However, these ratios are, to say the least, dependent on seasonality. In winter, the use of vegetables such as broccoli, lettuce, lemon or orange can dry up within a week or two without trade with the mainland. The establishment of customs tariffs will have a long-term effect, which will be applicable to the destruction of Kovid-19 in the short term.

Mutton and Lettuce

Economic activity in the United Kingdom deteriorated by 10% in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the same period of 2019. These figures exceed the observed decline in Europe and the United States. At the same time, the death rate from Kovid-19 in the UK is higher than the European average, although lower than the US data.

If the management of the crisis has been criticized by public opinion with a toxic common to all countries affected by the epidemic, the criticism has been paradoxically more bitter in France than in the channel. Despite runting about his nationality-reducing app, less controlled backpedals, and the Anglo-Saxon tradition that emphasized freedom to trade, the proverbial cuff that British use of psychology as a provision enabled Boris Johnson To avoid the worst political crisis. Does the signing of the Brexit Agreement and the vaccination campaign launched from elsewhere provide it with a strong enough blank check to carry the Conservatives until the next legislative elections?

This was Boris Johnson’s idea. Although he is very keen to see the economic losses of Brexit fade under Kovid-19, he is more reluctant to see the greater political gains as he is likely to derive from it. The Prime Minister’s rhetoric is indeed to see the deal as a quantum leap in Britain’s ability to make its choice on the international stage.

Today’s consensus, however, will no longer allow British conservatives to place responsibility for the development of relations with the continent on a real or imagined third party. This political safety net fueled over time. During the next legislative deadline, successes and failures will be the inspiration for Boris Johnson and his loners. Eventually, Churchill’s biographer vowed to become a Brexiteer one evening in February 2016, when he spoke about the issue. A crazy cart in the supermarket “. Now all he has to do is to become captain of a drunken boat, spinning in a storm between the deaf Cherbidis of Brexit and the unpredictable Skyla of Kovid-19.

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This article has been published within the framework of IRIS’s Kovid-19 (Dis) Information and Geopolitical Observatory.