New climate forecast: World on track to warm 2.4 degrees by 2100

Updated on 11/10/2021 at 12:50 pm

• Researchers at the “Climate Action Tracker” believe that by 2100 the Earth’s atmosphere will warm by 2.4 degrees.
• If the current action against climate change continues, it could even be 2.7 degrees.
• Scientists criticize the fact that there was a “credibility gap” between speaking and acting at the World Climate Conference in Glasgow.

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According to the researchers, if the commitments of all states for climate protection for the year 2030 are implemented, global warming will reach about 2.4 degrees by the end of the century. This is shown by new forecasts by the Climate Action Tracker (CAT), which were published on Tuesday at the World Climate Conference in Glasgow.

If you just look at what states are doing now and ignore further announcements, global warming will increase to 2.7 degrees by 2100.

1.8 degrees will also be possible – but only if the states keep their promises

However, the target agreed in the 2015 Paris climate agreement is to limit temperature rise to below 1.5 degrees, if possible, below two degrees compared to the pre-industrial era. According to calculations by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, emissions of climate-damaging greenhouse gases will have to be halved by 2030.

CAT researchers found that there was a “credibility gap” between what was said and what was done at the halfway point of the climate change conference in Scotland. An “optimistic scenario” of just 1.8 degrees of warming is also conceivable – but only if those countries keep their long-term commitments that want to become climate neutral by the middle of the century. It lacked credible, concrete concepts for this in most countries.

Greenpeace: “Disastrous Report”

Greenpeace boss Jennifer Morgan called the forecast dire. “It is a devastating report that, in any sane world, would prompt governments to quickly set aside their differences and work on agreement to save our future.”

Instead, see COP26 as the “sabotage, sabotage and selfishness” of the powerful, while weaker states fought for their lives and youth activists called for justice.
© DPA