Scotland’s independence no longer scares economists. And Kovid anarchy weakens London

British businesses no longer fear the independence of Scotland. It is one that emerges from Poll published by “Times” On 2 October in London. 54% of business executives surveyed suggested that separating Scotland from the United Kingdom would “not cause problems”, while only 22% considered it a risk factor from an economic standpoint. Thus a strong element of Unionist “discourse” seems to be breaking through, according to which Scottish independence will damage the economy. It was always said: Scotland was too isolated to stand alone, British economies were also unified to separate.

Meanwhile, the political environment has also changed. While the first Scottish Minister Nicola Sturgeon (Freedom activist, an expression of the Scottish National Party) records an unprecedented peak in popularity, Pollen indicates that A new referendum for independence This may give the opposite result from 2014, when a “no” to secede from the United Kingdom was prevalent to distinguish “yes” with a 55% win. This was revealed by a Yougov poll published on August 12, which suggests that the Scots would be 52% in favor of independence, a part never before.

Fostering this new trend will be the joint action of the Kovid-19 pandemic and Brexit, managed by Prime Minister Boris Johnson, considered the most “devastating” by the way as Skinny suggested Johnson’s 20% Popularity in Scotland. In contrast, Prime Minister Sturgeon collects what he sowed in lockdown when it appeared every day on Scottish TV, communicating in a sympathetic and reassuring manner, but more severe than in other areas of Great Britain Contagion used to implement control measures. Sturgeon’s popularity had risen to 72% by August. Even the Scots in opposition to independence promote it: 59% of them indicate that the “first minister” has done well in times of epidemics.

The element is important: with the 1998 divergence, health care has become the responsibility of Scottish institutions. there Universal epidemic The Scots were shown as an unprecedented centrality of the Edinburgh government, which had previously been charged with legislating on secondary issues. In contrast to the chaos in Westminster and Downing Street, Scotland was considered skilled in managing the crisis. Political analyst for the “Courier” David Clegg confirmed this: “Kovid-19 has brought this by-product with it. All questions about the economy, Scotland’s position in the world and the shaking of three centuries of shared history Risks of. A very simple question has been reduced to: Nicola Sturgeon or Boris Johnson? “.

Following the defeat of separatists in 2014, Brexit intervened to increase consensus for self-government requests: “No” to exit EU He won in Scotland with 62% of the vote, showing pro-European sentiment. The Scots consider the central government to be a guarantee of “counterparty” to community institutions. The results of the 2019 general elections are also in the queue: if Boris Johnson won with 43% nationally, the “Tories” in Scotland collected a modest 25%, a 3-point drop compared to 2017. Thus, a request from the SNP for a new referendum for independence in the vicinity of the next election for the Scottish Parliament, scheduled for 2021 in the last two years, in which the SNP is expected to win a major victory, which would give London a Will indicate more.

But veto Boris Johnson, Which declined a call for a new vote in January: “We will not allow another referendum that would confirm a decade-long political deadlock with Scottish hospitals, jobs and schools, including the Hospital of Scotland, Jobs and schools will once again be left behind. Due to a separate campaign from the United Kingdom “. Johnson did not intend to risk Prime Minister David Cameron, who took the 2014 referendum in the belief that “no” would win. But if Cameron was saved from a broken headset in the Scottish referendum, it would not have happened in the Brexit referendum: there was also a “bruised” victory, which was confirmed by the former conservative premier. But unsurprisingly he won the “holiday” and the first head to roll was that of Cameron.

An error which Johnson does not intend to repeat by authorizing a consultation with an unexpected result. Sturgeon’s opposition is of little value, as he candidly responded to Johnson: “Tories get nervous That Scotland exercises the right to choose its future. But democracy will prevail. “Freedom’s risk game against Boris Johnson’s rocky nationalism, which does not want to replace itself with Churchill’s emulator that made the disintegration of the United Kingdom possible.”